Wednesday, May 12, 2010

Avalanche, indeed

Landslide for Nanay. So I wrote here on May 3, a week before the vote, of an exchange of analyses with Ashley Manabat who held that there was no way for Capitol tenant Eddie Panlilio to win the governorship.
Come to think of it now, even the days augured well for Panlilio’s rival: May 9 celebrated as Mother’s Day could only run through May 10 as Araw ni Nanay.
So Ashley posited that the loss of Panlilio’s so-called confidence team and supporters, notably Madame Lolita Hizon, his maladministration of the province, and above all, one Atty. Vivian Dabu, contributed to the dissatisfaction of the Kapampangan, and therefore would spell doom for the recounted-out governor.
A greater doom awaited him on the ground with the towns that served as Gov. Mark Lapid’s vanguard in 2007 going all out this time for Comelec-declared Gov. Lilia “Nanay Baby” Pineda.
So landslide, indeed, was the outcome of the 2010 gubernatorial race with Pineda getting 458,604 votes against Panlilio’s 227,158 per the count I got from GMA-7 news.com.
A margin of 231,446 votes – 4,288 more than his total – there. Yeah, it will take more than a backhoe to dig Panlilio out of that mountain of votes that buried him.
Repudiation. Utter repudiation of Panlilio by the Kapampangan is the only way one can explain so bad a beating, so thorough a mauling, so savage a mangling a sitting, if recounted-out, governor could ever get at the polls.
Panlilio won only in one town – so sadly in my own – Sto. Tomas, by the slim margin of some 300 votes, going by the unofficial, and early, count I got. In the absence of the Comelec official tally, all the figures I proffer here are unofficial and only partial, approximating but a little over 60 percent of the vote as of 2 in the morning of May 11. (As I write this, Pineda has yet to be proclaimed by the provincial board of canvassers as winner of the 2010 gubernatorial contest.)
Panlilio’s own hometown of Minalin disowned him, giving Pineda 11,086 votes to his 7,711. Yeah, no prophet is honored in his own country. Most especially a false one, quipped Pastor Macky, he of the Pangan clan.
Contrast that to Lubao’s going all-out for its favorite Baby with 48,602 votes, ceding to Panlilio 4,365 or less than 10 percent of the former’s.
As predicted, the Lapid 2007 bailiwicks proved to be Pineda’s bastions this time.
Mabalacat’s fiery fervor for Pineda translated to 35,874 votes, thoroughly consuming Panlilio’s 18,231.
In Floridablanca, 26,045 voters went Pineda while 8,634 stuck with Panlilio.
No watered down votes in Arayat this time with 25,639 counted for Pineda and 10,356 for Panlilio.
In Mexico, 22,667 voted for Pineda while 13,784 voted for Panlilio.
Apalit made good Mayor Jun Tetangco’s promise of a convincing Pineda win, with 22,762 votes to Panlilio’s 11,325.
The Floreses proved anew their dogged loyalty to whomever they take as their leader: Macabebe giving Pineda 16,008 votes and allowing Panlilio only 4,615; Masantol in turn with 15,172 for Pineda and 5,351 for Panlilio.
In the Lapid heartland of Porac, Pineda garnered 25,180 votes to Panlilio’s 12,365.
In 2007, the City of San Fernando gave Panlilio his widest margin against Pineda. The support of Mayor Oscar Rodriguez notwithstanding, the city electorate abandoned Panlilio this time, with Pineda getting 38,186 votes to his 32,559.
And what is to be expected of Macapagal, nay, Pineda, country that is the second district but pure woes for Panlilio.
Guagua went 18,365 votes for Pineda, and 11,329 for Panlilio, mayhaps much of it coming from his purported power base of Betis.
In Sta. Rita, 10,476 voted for Pineda, 5,867 for Panlilio.
Sasmuan gave Pineda 12,480, Panlilio squeaking by with 1,937.
The remaining towns of Pampanga tells the same story – of Panlilio managing but half of Pineda’s sum.
The tally sheets: Magalang,18,039 for Pineda, 9,659 for Panlilio. Bacolor, 19,179 for Pineda, 10,079 for Panlilio. Sta. Ana, 12,228 for Pineda, 6,356 for Panlilio. Candaba, 20,276 for Pineda, 10,685 for Panlilio. San Luis, 17,586 for Pineda, 7,558 for Panlilio. San Simon, 13,931 for Pineda, 7,426 for Panlilio.
Again, may I remind the reader that the figures for the towns are vintage 2 a.m. of May 11, partial and unofficial, the Comelec having yet to make public the official, complete results.
Anyways, they are factual. The principle of res ipsa loquitur applies here. The numbers speak for themselves. An avalanche of votes buried Panlilio to kingdom come, politically that is. Clearly, a revolt of the Kapampangan there.
What repudiation is worse than this?

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